Three thoughts on Vitalik’s latest “essay”

  • Vitalik Buterin's latest essay emphasizes Ethereum's commitment to supply-side economics, modularization (sharding), and key upgrades like Pectra/Fulu Osaka in 2025, focusing on account abstraction, L1/L2 interoperability, and Blob market mechanisms.
  • The Ethereum ecosystem aims to prioritize consumer-centric adoption, Web3 expansion, and high-performance AltVMs chains to compete with Solana, leveraging NFT airdrops and points systems.
  • Vitalik's philosophy reflects a preference for decentralized infrastructure ideals over actual user behaviors (e.g., DeFi degens, traders), highlighting a cultural divide between Ethereum's "white left" ethos and Solana's pragmatic, high-performance appeal.
  • Solana's ecosystem outperforms Ethereum in transaction volume and wallet adoption (Phantom vs. MetaMask), capturing Gen Z/Post-00s users who view Ethereum as outdated.
  • The looming "Ethereum-Solana War" in 2025 could reshape market dynamics, with Solana's SVM projects (e.g., SonicSVM) challenging ETH's AltVM contenders (e.g., Monad, MegaETH), potentially triggering a SOL flip ETH scenario in volatile market conditions.
  • A SOL flip ETH event would mark a psychological shift, possibly heralding Ethereum's "Minsky moment" (a sudden collapse in confidence).
Summary

Author: NingNing

Vitalik issued the highest instructions, adhering to supply-side economics unwaveringly. In the face of severe external challenges from Solana, the Ethereum ecosystem must enhance its confidence in the infra-centric path and the white left hippie culture, continue to unswervingly advance the modularization (sharding) path of Ethereum, and implement the two main network upgrade key projects of Pectra/Fulu Osaka in 25 years, and achieve results in key areas such as account abstraction, L1/L2 interoperability, Blob market mechanism, data availability sampling main network adoption, and main network block statelessness.

In the new year, all staff of the Ethereum ecosystem must insist on being (abstract) consumer-centric, promote the Mass Adoption of (false) Web3, focus on the new Infra split-plate - high-performance AltVMs chain, and fully support them in siphoning the Solana ecosystem through equity NFT airdrops and point Fi, and consolidate the position of Ethereum L1 as the world computer/Web3 financial settlement layer.

Vitalik's essay reveals his white left crypto philosophy everywhere: he loves the abstract concept of decentralization and Infra, but hates users who embrace the concept of decentralization and use decentralized Infra - DeFi Degen, Pumpfun Gambler, Crypto Trader, etc.

The Solana ecosystem, which represents the American spirit and WASP blue blood in this cycle, has a 24-hour transaction volume of one chain that surpasses the entire Ethereum ecosystem at its peak. Its ecosystem wallet Phantom ranks in the top 3 in the AppStore/Google Play Store download rankings, crushing the Ethereum ecosystem wallet Metamask.

What’s even more frightening is that Solana has occupied the minds of most Generation Z/Post-00s youngsters and developers, many of whom already regard Ethereum as something that only ancient people can play with.

Faced with these structural challenges at the consumer level, Vitalik gave a classic white left solution: continue to vigorously develop production and infrastructure.

The reason is obviously not to maintain the fundamental interests of the Ethereum ecosystem, but because he is too afraid that power will slip away from him and run into the hands of business elites from Wall Street/Silicon Valley.

Will this work?

Although both the Ethereum ecosystem and the Solana ecosystem refuse to acknowledge the existence of the Ethereum-Solana War, everyone knows that the Ethereum-Solana War will inevitably become the main theme of the industry in 25 years.

The market and user mind battle between Solana's SVM camp's @SonicSVM, @soon_svm, @solayer_labs and ETH AltVM lineup's @monad_xyz, @megaeth_labs will bring a lot of new wealth opportunities to everyone.

If priced according to the current deribit BTC options market, 25 years will be a large W-shaped shock structure. In such a market environment with tight liquidity and low market risk appetite, SOL Flip ETH may arrive as expected at some point in the spring/autumn market.

Once this event occurs, it will greatly change the mental structure of the market, and Ethereum’s Minsky moment will arrive.

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Author: NingNing

This article represents the views of PANews columnist and does not represent PANews' position or legal liability.

The article and opinions do not constitute investment advice

Image source: NingNing. Please contact the author for removal if there is infringement.

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