PANews reported on April 9 that according to Cailian Press, the latest US stock research report released by Goldman Sachs shows that the US stock bear market may last longer. It is currently in an event-driven bear market (triggered by tariffs). However, given the rising risk of recession, it can easily evolve into a cyclical bear market. Goldman Sachs further analyzed that from the trend point of view, the average decline of cyclical bear markets and event-driven bear markets is usually around 30%, although their duration varies. Event-driven bear markets last shorter and recover faster. Cyclic bear markets last about two years on average, and it takes about five years to fully rebound to the starting point, while event-driven bear markets usually last about eight months and recover in about a year. The impact of structural bear markets is the most severe, with an average decline of about 60%, lasting more than three years, and usually taking ten years to fully recover.
Goldman Sachs: US stocks may evolve into a cyclical bear market, which usually lasts about two years and takes five years to rebound to the starting point
- 2025-05-11
BlackRock Bitcoin ETF has seen net inflows for 20 consecutive days, setting a record for the longest inflow this year, with Goldman Sachs' IBIT holdings increasing by 28% in Q1
- 2025-05-08
Goldman Sachs warns: US inflation could reach nearly 4% before Christmas
- 2025-05-05
Goldman Sachs: The Fed is unlikely to cut interest rates because of weak "soft data"
- 2025-05-03
Macroeconomic outlook for next week: The Fed is expected to go against Trump again, and the "wolf cry" scenario may be staged again
- 2025-05-03
Goldman Sachs plans to launch 24/7 tokenized U.S. Treasury and money market fund trading services
- 2025-05-03
Barclays and Goldman Sachs expect the Fed to cut interest rates in July after strong non-farm payrolls