Trading Moments: Storage prices surged again, while BTC stubbornly held above 75,000. The market anticipates a pullback to fill the 79,000 CME gap before further declines.

The S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Japanese and South Korean stock markets hit new highs. The semiconductor index rose for the fifth consecutive day, with Micron Technology surging 20%. SK Hynix's market capitalization surpassed one trillion US dollars after Samsung Electronics. $78,000 is the main resistance level for Bitcoin. If the bulls can hold $74,900 and successfully break through $78,000, Bitcoin can rise further.

Daily market data review and trend analysis, produced by PANews.

Macro Market

The strong performance of technology stocks continued to dominate Wall Street, with the S&P 500 rising 0.61% to 7,519.12 points and the Nasdaq Composite surging 1.19% to 26,656.18 points, both hitting record highs; while the Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped slightly by 0.23% to 50,461.68 points.

Japanese and South Korean stock markets also continued to break historical records . South Korea's KOSPI index surged by as much as 5% during trading, triggering a circuit breaker, with its market capitalization increasing by $220 billion in a single month. The Nikkei 225 index rose by more than 2%, hitting a new historical high. Nomura Securities raised its year-end targets for the TOPIX and Nikkei indices, predicting that the Nikkei index will reach 68,000 points by the end of 2026, and pointed out that the continued profit growth of AI and chip-related companies is the main driving factor.

The semiconductor sector led the gains, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rising for the fifth consecutive day and up over 80% year- to-date. Driven by explosive growth in AI demand, Micron Technology's stock price surged 19.3% in a single day, pushing its market capitalization past the $1 trillion mark for the first time. UBS significantly raised its target price for Micron from $535 to $1625, predicting its market capitalization could reach $1.8 trillion within the next 12 months. Meanwhile, Barclays doubled its target price for SanDisk from $1200 to $2300, after which SanDisk shares soared 7.5%.

SK Hynix , Nvidia's largest supplier of high-bandwidth memory chips, saw its stock price surge 13% on Wednesday, pushing its market capitalization past $1 trillion, making it the third Asian company, after Samsung Electronics, to join the "trillion-dollar club." Meanwhile, the Hong Kong-listed Southern Securities' 2x leveraged long position in Hynix also expanded its gains to nearly 29%, hitting a record high . Samsung Electronics' stock price also surged by over 8% at one point, similarly reaching a record high.

Analysts generally expect the memory chip shortage to continue until 2027, giving companies like SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, and Micron Technology significant pricing power in their collaborations with global tech giants . Barclays analysts stated that SK Hynix will continue to lead the high-bandwidth memory chip market and benefit from the favorable pricing environment created by tight supply.

Meanwhile, as SpaceX's IPO progresses, the investment boom in the space economy continues to heat up. SpaceX's target valuation could reach as high as $2 trillion, with a fundraising target of up to $75 billion. As a result, space and satellite-related stocks surged across the board. Space infrastructure company Redwire's stock price jumped as much as 31% on Tuesday, ultimately closing up 26%. Satellite communications company AST SpaceMobile rose 13%, and rocket and spacecraft manufacturer Firefly saw its stock price soar 19% after winning a NASA lunar mission contract.

Bitcoin price

Bitcoin continues to fluctuate between $75,000 and $78,000, with declining market activity and persistent capital outflows. Although MicroStrategy used $1.38 billion in cash to repurchase $1.5 billion in convertible bonds maturing in 2029 at a discount, alleviating market concerns about its debt risk, overall market liquidity remains insufficient. Data shows that Bitcoin ETFs experienced net outflows of $334 million yesterday, marking the seventh consecutive day of outflows and hitting a new low. Meanwhile, CryptoQuant data shows that spot Bitcoin demand has fallen to its lowest point since December of last year, with the current rebound primarily relying on derivatives trading in the options market.

Currently, $78,000 is the main resistance level for Bitcoin, while $74,000-$75,000 is a key support zone. If the support is breached, the price could fall to around $66,000 or even $50,000; however, if the bulls can hold $74,900 and successfully break through $80,000, the price is expected to rise further to $82,000.

Bearish view

The core logic behind this camp lies in the depletion of spot demand and the heavy historical selling pressure above. Analysts generally believe that the current rebound lacks spot support, and if key support levels are breached, Bitcoin will face a deep downward liquidation.

  • Alex Thorn (Galaxy Digital): Since the flash crash last October, a large amount of old-cycle chips with a cost of over $103,000 have continued to resurface, and there is a huge amount of selling pressure to be digested around $77,000.

  • Shaurya Malwa (CryptoQuant): Apparent demand for 30 days has plummeted to rock bottom. The current rebound is entirely driven by futures. Once funding rates shift, the liquidation of leveraged positions will cause prices to collapse rapidly.

  • Hyblock analysts: $78,000 is a key psychological resistance level, where a large number of long positions and short positions taking profits have chosen to exit at breakeven, creating strong downward pressure.

  • CGT Trader: A head and shoulders pattern has formed on a higher timeframe. If the price breaks below the $74,000-$75,000 neckline with significant volume, it will likely target $66,000.

  • Ardi: Bitcoin is poised to sweep down to the $74,000 liquidity level. Three consecutive weeks of lower highs and the loss of the $76,400 support are clear bearish signals.

  • Max Trades: The current trend is exactly the same as the previous distribution phase of 84K-94K. If it returns to the trading range, it may trigger a 40% deep pullback to $50,000-$51,000.

  • Joao Wedson: $73,700 is the last line of defense for the bulls. Once it is breached, a new capitulation-style crash will be inevitable.

  • CJ: The candlestick chart shows a clean rejection at the opening price. If it cannot hold above $75,600, it will abandon its long position and look towards a lower target of $74,400.

  • Astronomer: As planned, we closed out our large short positions near $74,100, completing our fourth consecutive precise shorting move.

  • EliZ: The Bitcoin market lacks real liquidity, with funds being drained by US tech stocks. The current range is full of false breakouts, so the focus should be on protecting funds.

bullish view

The core logic of this camp lies in the improvement of macro liquidity and the continuous accumulation of shares by institutional whales. They believe that the current consolidation is just a continuation of the bull market, and a more violent breakout will follow after the shakeout ends.

  • Adam Back (Blockstream): A whale is using the TWAP strategy to frantically buy up "cheap Bitcoin" at a rate of 450 coins per day for 8.5 consecutive days.

  • Bitwise: Bitcoin's MVRV ratio is only 1.42, which represents a record valuation trough compared to the record highs of Nasdaq tech stocks.

  • Killa: As long as the $74,900 support level holds, the market structure has already shifted to an upward trend, with a target of $81,000-$82,000.

  • LP: The SOPR indicator shows that the market has not experienced extreme panic at the bottom of a bear market, and $60,000 is likely just a local low rather than a macro bottom.

  • Whale Factor: MicroStrategy's move to repurchase convertible bonds ahead of schedule has completely eliminated balance sheet risks, shattered liquidation rumors, and injected a strong boost into the bulls.

  • Daan Crypto Trades: Bitcoin has perfectly retested the April lows, and the next major rally is about to begin once it breaks through the $80,000 mark.

  • Crypto Tony: The market must first fill the $79,000 CME gap before it falls further.

  • Altcoin Sherpa: Remain cautiously bullish. We recommend taking a quick swing trading approach in the current market and waiting for a strong Bitcoin rebound before fully embracing altcoins.

  • Mark: Maintaining the overall framework, he believes that $74,200 is the low point of the panic selling, while $79,500 is the end point of this rebound.

Key data (as of 13:00 HKT on May 27)

(Data source: Coinank, Upbit, SoSoValue, CryptoBubbles)

  • Bitcoin ETF: -$334 million, marking the 7th consecutive day of net outflows.

  • Ethereum ETF: -$35.0383 million, marking the 11th consecutive day of net outflows.

  • XRP ETF: +$1,547,400

  • HYPE ETF: +$20.4512 million

  • Fear of Greed Index: 25 (Fear)

  • Upbit 24-hour trading volume rankings: BTC, XRP, WLD, ETH, NEAR

  • Sector Performance: The crypto market fluctuated downwards, with the AI ​​sector rising over 3% and the RWA sector falling 2.12%.

24-hour liquidation data: A total of 77,295 people worldwide were liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $300 million, including $96.84 million in BTC liquidations, $53.62 million in ETH liquidations, and $15.21 million in WLD liquidations.

Today's Outlook

The top 100 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization with the largest gains today are: Rain up 44.2%, Unibase up 11.6%, Terra Luna Classic up 11.2%, Sei up 11.2%, and Worldcoin up 10.7%.

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Author: 交易时刻

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