Wintermute: Bitcoin's rally is fragile amid weak spot demand; a short-term reversal may be imminent.

PANews reported on May 13th that, according to Cryptopolitan, a market report released by Wintermute indicated that Bitcoin's breakthrough of $80,000 was primarily driven by a short squeeze in the perpetual futures market, rather than by spot demand. Over the past month, open interest in Bitcoin futures increased by approximately $10 billion to $58 billion, but spot trading volume fell to a two-year low. When Bitcoin broke through $70,000, a large number of short positions were forcibly liquidated, triggering a buying frenzy that pushed up the price.

Wintermute warns that the rally, lacking support from spot demand, is fragile and the market could face a sharp reversal. In the long term, while spot ETFs have recently seen net inflows of $623 million and exchange-traded Bitcoin holdings have fallen to a seven-year low, these factors are insufficient to offset short-term risks. Higher-than-expected US CPI data and uncertainty surrounding the Fed Chair nomination could also exacerbate market pressures. Wintermute states that $85,000 is still a possibility, but the risk-reward ratio for buying at current prices is unfavorable.

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Author: PA一线

This content is for market information only and is not investment advice.

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